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History repeats itself, not least in agricultural cycles – As the US farm economy transitions from a period of historically strong balance sheets to a period of negative margins, the commodity market downturn offers useful lessons in how row crop growers will navigate lower agri commodity prices today.
Stocks Down, Yields Down – US Dollar, Oil, Bond yields are all crashing at once. This is a RARE and powerful signal according to some. What does it mean for the market’s next move?
The resurrection of canola in Oklahoma and Kansas may begin this fall – Farmers in America’s southern Plains are once again thinking about canola because a major player is retrofitting an oilseed plant in Kansas to crush both soybeans and canola. If the soil tests are any indication, they could use some Tiger XP or Tiger 90CR.
If Applying Potash, Apply Sulphur Too – If soil test potassium is deficient and the crop needs sulphur, consider applying potash and Tiger XP/Tiger 90CR this fall if it makes economic sense. You may be able to save time and money this year, while taking care of next year’s soybeans.
Cotton Spin – While the abandonment rate remained the same, USDA cut yield per harvested acre across nine states in their September WASDE report.
Farmers in Tough Spot – The National Corn Growers Association (NCGA) and the American Soybean Association (ASA) are sharing their frustrations over a recently released recommendation by the U.S. Department of Commerce (DOC) to impose preliminary countervailing duty rates on imports of the herbicide 2,4-D.
Get With The Team – Being onside with the U.S. and building toward a trade bloc of rules-following nations is farmers’ best bet for strong underlying markets.
China’s Economy and Global Ag Markets – China’s economic slowdown is leading to a significant impact on global agricultural markets, as the country’s grain reserves swell and demand decreases, Bloomberg reports. This is causing concern for farmers worldwide, as China has long been a major customer.
Feds Cut Interest Rates – The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 50 basis points ( ½% ) on Wednesday. Previously, the only times that the Fed has cut rates by more than 25 basis points ( ¼% ) has been during moments of crisis (early days of the COVID pandemic, and prior to that the financial crisis of 2008). Will inflation take off again? Cuts were expected, but few economist expected this much of a cut. With this cut in interest rates, the US dollar (USD) is down against foreign currencies, making commodities/products more attractive overseas.
